Clinton has another big night and is poised to become first female major party presidential nominee

Hillary Clinton arrives to speak to supporters during her five-state primary night rally held in Philadelphia. (Photo: Charles Mostoller/Reuters)
Hillary Clinton arrives to speak to supporters during her five-state primary night rally held in Philadelphia. (Photo: Charles Mostoller/Reuters)

At the Philadelphia Convention Center, Clinton took the stage to the song “Eye of the Tiger.” In a nod to the movie “Rocky,” which is set in the city, she declared the evening a “great night” and looked ahead to the official end of the primary process.

“With your help, we’re going to come back to Philadelphia for the Democratic convention with the most votes and the most pledged delegates,” Clinton said. “And we will unify our party to win this election and build an America where we can all rise together, an America where we lift each other up instead of tearing each other down.”

Clinton’s remarks included several lines that have not been in her standard stump speech thus far, in which she acknowledged the surprisingly strong challenge Sanders has mounted and some of the core issues of his platform. After starting as a long shot, Sanders earned a string of victories against Clinton by painting her as insufficiently progressive and criticizing her ties to Wall Street and corporate megadonors. In her speech, Clinton argued that Democrats are largely in agreement on these issues.

“We will build on a strong progressive tradition, from Franklin Roosevelt to Barack Obama, and I applaud Sen. Sanders and his millions of supporters for challenging us to get unaccountable money out of our politics and to give greater emphasis to closing the gap of inequality,” Clinton said. “I know together we will get that done, because whether you support Sen Sanders or you support me, there’s much more that unites us than divides us.”

After the speech, Clinton’s campaign communications director Jennifer Palmieri spoke to Yahoo News. Palmieri discussed the Democratic primary in the past tense.

“We had a number of wins tonight. We’re very grateful for them. It’s more clear that she’ll be the nominee. She’s grateful to have won the state of Pennsylvania and to be coming back here in 14 weeks to accept her party’s nomination,” Palmieri said, adding, “We are looking back now on the primary … we’re winding down. We have  — there’s, I believe, seven weeks left to go in a process that’s been going on for a year. And, as we look back on how the primary unfolded … the process, we believe was to our party’s benefit and to our campaign’s benefit.”

Palmieri said the primary made Clinton a “more tested, stronger candidate” and also left the Democratic Party “positioned well for the general.”

“The issues that were raised in our primary and the issues that brought more than 10 million voters out to vote for Hillary Clinton are the same economic issues that we think are going to be forefront in the general election and on the minds of general election voters,” said Palmieri. “So, that is, how do you increase wages? How do you create jobs? How can you help people afford college? How can you make their health care more affordable?”

Palmieri went on to argue that there was no need for Clinton’s campaign to “make a general election pivot” and “talk about different issues.”

“For the Democrats, that’s what our primary has been about. It’s been about the same kind of economic issues, as well as issues of national security, that we think voters across the board care about,” Palmieri said.

On the other side of the aisle, Republican frontrunner Donald Trump earned a sweep on Tuesday night, with wins in all five states. Yahoo News asked Palmieri if the Clinton campaign would be glad to face Trump in the general election rather than another GOP candidate.

“That is on the list of things I have no control over. We will deal with… whoever they choose,” Palmieri said. “But whoever they choose, their personalities might be different, but they are similar on issues Hillary Clinton laid out tonight. They all want to overturn Roe v. Wade, none of them believe that we should raise the minimum wage, they’re not going to combat climate change, not going to fight to overturn Citizens United.”

Hillary Clinton and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, walks to the stage at her election night rally in Philadelphia. (Photo: /Matt Rourke/AP)
Hillary Clinton and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, walks to the stage at her election night rally in Philadelphia. (Photo: /Matt Rourke/AP)

Heading into Tuesday’s contests, the Sanders campaign indicated this would be a pivotal turning point in the Democratic race. In an interview with the New York Times, Sanders’ senior adviser, Tad Devine, said his team would re-examine its approach based on the night’s returns. However, Devine was clear that Sanders would remain in the running, no matter what.

“If we are sitting here and there’s no sort of mathematical way to do it, we will be upfront about that,” Devine said. “If we have a really good day, we are going to continue to talk about winning most of the pledged delegates, because we will be on a path toward it. If we don’t get enough today to make it clear that we can do it by the end, it’s going to be hard to talk about it. That’s not going to be a credible path. Instead, we will talk about what we intend to do between now and the end, and how we can get there.”

Sanders took the stage at a packed arena in Huntington, W.Va., shortly after the results were announced in Maryland, and told his supporters they are “revolutionaries” who can be “powerful” if they take on the country’s ultrawealthy. As he has throughout the primary, Sanders mocked the media for dismissing him as a “fringe candidate” when he jumped into the race a year ago.

“We’re taking on the most powerful political organization in America,” Sanders said, referring to Clinton’s campaign.

He emphasized the 17 contests his campaign has won so far. Sanders also pointed to poll results to make the case he would perform better than Clinton in the general election, an argument his campaign has made as it attempts to persuade delegates to switch sides. He referred to national polls that show him performing better against Republican frontrunner Donald Trump than Clinton does and indications that he has greater support from independents.

“That is the point that I hope the delegates to the Democratic convention fully understand,” he said. “In the general election, everyone, Democrat and Republican, has a right to vote for the president.”

Sanders did not criticize Clinton for her ties to Wall Street or paid speeches to Goldman Sachs, although he has brought up those issues throughout his campaign, including just last week. This is a pronounced change in tone, with Sanders making the case for why he is a better nominee than Clinton, while backing away from direct attacks on her that could hurt her in the general election.

After his speech, the candidate released a statement explicitly shifting his focus from winning the nomination to fighting “for a progressive party platform” at the Democratic National Convention in July.

Trump’s ‘very good’ night: ‘I consider myself the presumptive nominee’

“I consider myself the presumptive nominee,” Trump said. “If you look honestly, Sen. Cruz and Gov. Kasich should really get out the race… They should get out of the race, and we should heal the Republican Party.”
“I consider myself the presumptive nominee,” Trump said. “If you look honestly, Sen. Cruz and Gov. Kasich should really get out the race… They should get out of the race, and we should heal the Republican Party.”

NEW YORK — Donald Trump took another step toward clinching the Republican presidential nomination Tuesday, easily sweeping Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, Rhode Island and Connecticut in the latest round of GOP primaries.

But Trump’s victories, while commanding, did not bring an end to the Republican contest. Though the real estate mogul and former reality television star was expected to take home the majority of the 172 delegates at stake in Tuesday’s voting, adding to his already sizable lead, Pennsylvania’s delegate rules stopped Trump from making a clean sweep.

While Trump won Pennsylvania’s statewide vote, clinching 17 of the state’s 71 delegates, another 54 were officially “unbound,” meaning they can make their own decision about which candidate to support at the party’s convention in July in Cleveland. That technicality gave a glimmer of hope to Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, who are trying to stop Trump from getting the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the GOP nomination before the convention.

Still, Trump characterized his wins Tuesday as proof of his unstoppable momentum. Speaking to reporters at his election night event at Trump Tower, the GOP frontrunner said he considered the race “effectively over” because Cruz and Kasich “cannot win.”

“I consider myself the presumptive nominee,” Trump said. “If you look honestly, Sen. Cruz and Gov. Kasich should really get out the race… They should get out of the race, and we should heal the Republican Party.”

Although Trump now leads Cruz by more than 300 delegates, neither the Texas senator nor Kasich seem interested in ending their quest for the White House. The contest now shifts to Indiana, a state that could make or break the #NeverTrump movement.

There, Trump narrowly leads Cruz in a state that is viewed as friendly territory for the Texas senator. And on Tuesday night, Cruz took his campaign to the New Castle Fieldhouse, the legendary home of the Indiana Hoosiers basketball team, where he cast himself as an underdog unwilling to give up the fight.

“Tonight, this campaign moves back toward favorable terrain,” Cruz declared. “There is nothing Hoosiers cannot do.”

When Trump heads to Indiana on Wednesday, he will attempt to one-up Cruz in terms of basketball pandering. He plans to campaign with former Hoosiers coach Bobby Knight, a beloved sports figure in the state who endorsed Trump several months ago.

But Trump will first make a stop in Washington, D.C., where he’s scheduled to deliver a foreign policy speech — the first of several policy speeches he has promised to make as he attempts to transition from a primary to a general election candidate.

The candidate declined to go into specifics of what exactly he would talk about Wednesday. But he did reject the idea that he will tone down his rhetoric — pushing back on his convention manager Paul Manafort’s comments to members of the Republican National Committee last week that suggested Trump is merely playing “a part” and would embrace a more “presidential” tone in the coming weeks.

“I am me. I am not playing a part,” Trump said Tuesday night, adding that he had received dozens of messages from supporters saying, “Please don’t change, please don’t change.” “If you have a football team, and you are winning… Why would I change?” he said.

Trump hits 50 percent in national GOP poll for the first time

polls gop

While Republican frontrunner Donald Trump still needs more than 300 delegates to reach 1,237 — the magic number needed to secure the GOP presidential nomination — he has finally reached a key milestone in his bid for the White House: support from half of the country’s likely Republican voters.

According to a new NBC News/SurveyMonkey national tracking poll released Tuesday, 50 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say they support the real estate mogul’s candidacy, compared to the 26 percent who support Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and the 17 percent who are backing Ohio Gov. John Kasich.

Trump’s double-digit lead over his GOP rivals is one reason Cruz and Kasich banded together this week in an effort to block the brash billionaire from winning the GOP nomination.

Excluding independents, Trump now enjoys 49 percent support among Republican voters, up six points from last week, when the same poll was conducted prior to his resounding primary victory in New York.

Trump nearly reached 50 percent in a CNN/ORC poll conducted in February, when he led Florida Sen. Marco Rubio by 33 points (49 percent to 16 percent) among Republican and Republican-leaning voters.

Crossing the 50 percent threshold is important for Trump, who has hovered in mid-to-high-40 percent range in recent weeks — leading some to speculate that the White House hopeful had hit his ceiling with GOP voters.

In a statement blasting the Cruz-Kasich pact Monday, Trump complained that he “would be receiving in excess of 60% of the vote except for the fact that there were so many candidates” running against him.

On the Democratic side, frontrunner Hillary Clinton is ahead of Bernie Sanders nationally, but her lead has narrowed to just 2 points, an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Monday shows.

polls dem

According to the survey, the former secretary of state has the support of 50 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, while Sanders has the support of 48 percent. In the same poll conducted last month, Clinton held a 9-point lead over the Vermont senator.

Heading into Tuesday’s primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island, recent polls show Trump and Clinton leading in all five states — where wins would put each candidate closer to clinching their respective party’s nomination.

What We Know About the New Ted Cruz-John Kasich Alliance Against Trump

Cruz, Kasich: Kasich's team was the first of the duo to confirm their plan, with chief strategist John Weaver explaining the goal in a Sunday news release.
Cruz, Kasich: Kasich’s team was the first of the duo to confirm their plan, with chief strategist John Weaver explaining the goal in a Sunday news release.

MEGHAN KENEALLY, Good Morning America/

The new public alliance between Sen. Ted Cruz and Gov. John Kasich has added yet another surprising element to the ever-evolving presidential race.

The two Republican candidates have confirmed that they are being strategic about upcoming races and organizing their efforts to try to avoid competing against one another in certain states, focusing on putting their strongest foot forward against Donald Trump instead.

Kasich’s campaign manager confirmed that they’re going to target New Mexico, which holds its primary on June 7, while Cruz said today his attention is all on Indiana, which has its primary next Tuesday.

Such an approach is undeniably unique, especially given the public nature of their partnership. But whether it will work is an open question.

Strategic Planning

Kasich’s team was the first of the duo to confirm their plan, with chief strategist John Weaver explaining the goal in a Sunday news release.

“Our goal is to have an open convention in Cleveland, where we are confident a candidate capable of uniting the party and winning in November will emerge as the nominee,” Weaver said in the statement.

He went on to detail how the winner-take-all nature of Indiana affected their decision to “give the Cruz campaign a clear path” in that state.

“In turn, we will focus our time and resources in New Mexico and Oregon, both areas that are structurally similar to the Northeast politically, where Gov. Kasich is performing well,” Weaver said.

A Cruz campaign source then confirmed to ABC News that they coordinated with Kasich’s team on Weaver’s release and the strategy behind it.

Kasich made it clear today, however, that he isn’t completely throwing in the towel in Indiana. He said he would still want his supporters in Indiana to vote for him and not Cruz.

“I’ve never told them not to vote for me,” Kasich told reporters at a Philadelphia diner today when asked about his Indiana supporters. “They should vote for me.”

“I mean, this is a matter of resources, and we’re running a national campaign, and we want to have our resources where we think they could be used most effectively,” Kasich added

But the Texas senator this morning told conservative radio host Laura Ingraham that he thinks it is “very important” for Kasich to move out of the Indiana race “because the object has always been to nominate the strongest Republican to defeat Hillary Clinton in November.”

Cruz Ksh  Tp

Support From Trump’s Other Enemies

Outside groups that have made it their mission to keep Trump out of the White House have roundly supported the move, and are calling for their supporters to do the same.

The #NeverTrump movement put out a statement Sunday saying organizers were “happy” to see the alliance and stressed the importance of getting to a second ballot at the Republican National Convention in July. That will only happen if one of the candidates does not accumulate 1,237 delegates beforehand or does not get that many delegates on the first ballot.

“We’ve seen from victories in places like Ohio and Wisconsin that when #NeverTrump forces unite behind the one alternative that’s better suited to that state that we can beat Trump decisively,” the group’s statement said.

Gov. Kasich won in his home state of Ohio and Cruz won in Wisconsin.

Tim Miller, an adviser to the Our Principles PAC, which is also working against Trump, also expressed optimism about the plan.

“Voters will have to make decisions for themselves but we’d encourage those who don’t want a standard-bearer that is not conservative, doesn’t respect the Constitution, and has no chance against Hillary Clinton to support the candidate best able to beat him in their state,” Miller told ABC News.

Dealing With the Delegates

While the plan could keep Kasich from winning any delegates directly in the Indiana primary, he could be looking for a win from Hoosiers further down the line.

The state’s Republican Party has already selected the 57 people who will go to the national convention as delegates, and no matter the outcome of the May 3 vote, those are the 57 people going to the convention.

They will only be bound for the first ballot, which could be a source of hope for Kasich.

When those names were revealed this weekend, the Kasich campaign was happily boasting about how many among them were supporters who would fall in line for him on any nomination ballots beyond the first.

If the announced plan with Cruz works and the convention is contested, Kasich can hope that he was right and that many, if not most, of the Indiana delegates would support him on later ballots.

Trump..."It is sad that two grown politicians have to collude against one person who has only been a politician for ten months in order to try and stop that person from getting the Republican nomination,"
Trump…”It is sad that two grown politicians have to collude against one person who has only been a politician for ten months in order to try and stop that person from getting the Republican nomination,”

Trump’s Response

Unsurprisingly, Trump was not thrilled about the Cruz-Kasich alliance.

“It is sad that two grown politicians have to collude against one person who has only been a politician for ten months in order to try and stop that person from getting the Republican nomination,” Trump said in a response issued by his campaign.

“Collusion is often illegal in many other industries and yet these two Washington insiders have had to revert to collusion in order to stay alive,” he said, going on to reiterate his earlier assertions that the Republican Party process is rigged and corrupt.

He made similar statements on Twitter as well, but with more exclamation points.

ABC News’ Jessica Hopper, Candace Smith, Ben Gittleson and Jim Hill contributed to this report.

Republicans rallying behind Trump’s electioneering momentum

Reagan-Day Dinner photo form, left:, Dr. Elizabeth “Liz” Young, Secretary of Florida Conservative Republican Network, Florida State Governor Rick Scott, and Carol Jones, President, of Florida Conservative Republican Network.
Reagan-Day Dinner photo form, left:, Dr. Elizabeth “Liz” Young, Secretary of Florida Conservative Republican Network, Florida State Governor Rick Scott, and Carol Jones, President, of Florida Conservative Republican Network.

By Anthony Ogbo  |  Guardian News, Houston TX/

Most conservative Republicans passionate about a new political era celebrated across the country yesterday as New York delivered big wins to a favorite son, Donald Trump who clinched nearly all the 95 delegates at stake in Tuesday’s primary election.

“I think that at this time, we have to respect the will of the voters and conjoin with Donald Trump to prepare for the general election in November,” said Dr. Elizabeth Young, Secretary of Florida Conservative Republican Network. Dr. Young was not alone. It may be recalled that in March, 2016,  Florida Gov. Rick Scott handed down an endorsement to Trump, and called on party members across the country to come together and support him. “The voters are speaking clearly — they want a businessman outsider who will dramatically shake up the status quo in Washington,” he wrote

Gov. Rick Scott was the keynote speaker yesterday at the Reagan Day Dinner at the Spartan Manor, New Port Richey in Florida, where 400 party members of the Florida Conservative Republican Network gathered for a fundraiser. Dr. Young and Carol Jones, President, of Florida Conservative Republican Network also attended the event.

According to Governor Scott, “If we spend another four months tearing each other apart, we will damage our ability to win in November.” Dr. Young said that the Republican Party should start rallying around each other rather than the current in-house partisan fights. “We just have to face the ‘Trump reality’ and move on as a family, that is what democracy is all about,” she said.

Trump in addressing supporters after his victory said, “We don’t have much of a race anymore based on what I’m seeing on television. Senator Cruz is just about mathematically eliminated.”
Trump in addressing supporters after his victory said, “We don’t have much of a race anymore based on what I’m seeing on television. Senator Cruz is just about mathematically eliminated.”

Trump had held huge rallies across New York, focusing his campaign mainly upstate. He held big rallies in all the major upstate cities, including Long Island and Plattsburgh in northern New York. It was a big loss for Ted Cruz who came into New York facing an uphill battle after he said in a January debate that Trump represented “New York values.” Cruz’s comment was viewed as a slight on New York City and the state, and Trump has seized on this comments to provoke his chances.

“We don’t have much of a race anymore based on what I’m seeing on television. Senator Cruz is just about mathematically eliminated,” Trump said as he addressed his supporters after his victory. As of 12 a.m. ET, yesterday, Trump held 847 delegates, while Ted Cruz had 553 and John Kasich had 148, according to Guardian News approximation. A Republican candidate needs 1,237 delegates to take the nomination.

FEC report shows Trump, Clinton have huge spending disparity

Side-by-side, the contrasts between the Trump and Clinton campaign operations are stunning.
Side-by-side, the contrasts between the Trump and Clinton campaign operations are stunning.

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have become their parties’ presidential front-runners with diametrically opposed campaign organizations.  Trump has been getting by with an unconventional operation and very little investment in technology or polling or staff — though he has recently hired some seasoned political operatives to avoid getting outfoxed by Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) at a possibly contested Republican National Convention.

And Clinton’s campaign organization could not be more different, an analysis of Federal Election Commission (FEC) spending data by The Hill reveals. The Democratic front-runner relies on an army of consultants, has a payroll more than four times the size of Trump’s and has put many millions of dollars more toward expenses traditionally associated with leading presidential campaigns.

Side-by-side, the contrasts between the Trump and Clinton campaign operations are stunning.

Aided by an estimated $2 billion in free airtime from media coverage, Trump’s campaign spent just $33.4 million through the end of February, $24 million of which Trump loaned himself. Clinton’s campaign, on the other hand, spent $129 million through the same period.

During the month of February, Clinton had 783 employees on her payroll, and Trump had 139.

Clinton employs a roster of the biggest names in Democratic politics, including campaign chairman John Podesta; foreign policy adviser Jake Sullivan; press liaisons Brian Fallon and Jennifer Palmieri; and President Obama’s longtime chief pollster, Joel Benenson.

Trump, by contrast, employs a team of previously little-known operatives led by his campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, who has no experience running presidential campaigns and used to work for Americans for Prosperity.

That difference shows up in the bottom line, where Clinton’s spending on her staff during February alone — the most recent figures provided by the FEC — was $2.9 million, nearly as much as Trump has spent on staff since he entered the race in June.

The press teams, too, reflect the overall contrast between the campaigns.

Fallon, Clinton’s press secretary, was previously a spokesman for Sen. Charles Schumer  (D-N.Y.) and former Attorney General Eric Holder, and under Fallon is a team experienced in politics.

Trump’s press operation revolves largely around one woman: Hope Hicks, a former Ralph Lauren model who arrived with only a few years of experience in corporate PR. The billionaire’s most visible on-air spokeswoman is Katrina Pierson, a Texas Tea Party activist with a penchant for controversial statements and little experience in professional politics.

“If you’re not going to have many people, you need to have really good people,” said Stuart Stevens, chief strategist for 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney. “And Trump has hired, until recently, a bunch of people who would never have been hired to do what they’re doing by a campaign that was sane.”

But Stevens says Trump’s recent move to hire more experienced staffers is an encouraging sign for supporters, as the race appears likely to be decided by a battle for delegates at the party’s July convention in Cleveland.

The hire of GOP powerhouse Paul Manafort as convention manager drew wide praise, and Stevens described the operative as a “big, big talent.” A veteran of Republican campaigns going back to his work for President Gerald Ford at the contested 1976 GOP convention, Manafort, in an appearance Sunday on NBC News’s “Meet the Press,” described his appointment as “a natural transition” for the campaign.

“Trump was doing very well on a model that made sense, but now, as the campaign has gotten to the end stages, a more traditional campaign has to take place,” Manafort said.

But Trump’s shift comes late in the process and weeks after Cruz and his nationwide ground operation began outflanking Trump’s team by wooing delegates at conventions in North Dakota and Colorado.

If Trump is the nominee, he’ll also need to catch up to Clinton on technology and data if he is to optimize his general election chances.

The Hill’s comparison of Trump’s and Clinton’s spending on technology reveals that Clinton is running a campaign that builds on Obama’s legacy of investing in tech, while Trump’s operation is a shoestring affair.

Both candidates outsource their tech spending, but Trump is using lesser-known firms.

Trump paid more than $500,000 to Giles-Parscale, a San Antonio-based company that, according to its website, has more experience working for restaurants and real estate firms than for political campaigns.

While Trump spent just $1.1 million on technology and data, Clinton’s campaign spent close to $5 million through the end of February, with that money going to cloud computing resources and consultants who help clients deal with marketing data, suggesting a robust analytics and voter targeting operation.

On just about every other category of spending, Trump has invested significantly less than Clinton.

Using his tabloid instincts, Trump has exploited free media coverage and spent less than a third of what Clinton has on advertising. He’s also been relying on his instincts for his message, spending just $270,000 on research and polling, compared with Clinton’s $3.8 million.

And a look through the two campaigns’ rental bills suggests that Clinton has a much larger ground game. She has offices in 28 states, whereas Trump’s campaign has had a presence, as well as many fewer offices, in 15 states. More than half of Trump’s rental payments have been going to Trump-owned properties, including Trump Tower in New York, which houses the campaign’s headquarters. There are only a few categories of spending in which Trump rivals Clinton. One is on private security — each candidate has spent roughly $260,000 on security services — though Trump’s force has dealt with protesters in sometimes-controversial ways.

Another is on private air travel, each spending more than $3 million. Because Trump rides on his own jet, all of the billionaire’s expenditures on private air travel have been recycled back into the aviation company he owns, Tag Air, Inc. The only category in which Trump’s campaign spending exceeds Clinton’s is on merchandise. Trump has spent $3.3 million to Clinton’s $1.3 million, and about a third of Trump’s appears to have been on his “Make America Great Again” baseball caps, according to the FEC reports. Veteran Democratic campaign strategist Joe Trippi said Clinton’s much heavier early investment in all aspects of her campaign would give her a “tremendous” general election edge against Trump.

“Everything that she’s built is a huge, huge advantage over a Trump candidacy, because he has no data,” Trippi told The Hill. “He’s got whatever data the RNC [Republican National Committee] has, assuming he’s the nominee. And he’s got to put the fundraising together.” While Trump has made no effort to court the GOP donor class so far and has made his self-funding a point of pride in his campaign, he has left himself open to the possibility of accepting money from donors for a general election that will likely cost each candidate more than $1 billion.  Lewandowski declined to comment for this story. But Trippi, asked to characterize the Trump campaign operation from what he knows, said: “Up to now, it’s a guy on a surfboard riding a wave. … The problem is if the wave starts to break up.”

Trump falters in Wisconsin as Cruz wins big

By Holly Bailey

Davidson-Ted-Cruz-Religious-Test-1200

 

NEW YORK—Texas Sen. Ted Cruz soundly defeated Donald Trump in Wisconsin’s Republican presidential primary Tuesday, winning close to 50 percent of the vote in a three-man contest and potentially giving a burst of new momentum to efforts to stop the real estate mogul from clinching the GOP nomination. The outcome appeared to increase the odds of a contested convention this summer.

“Tonight is a turning point. It is a rallying cry,“ Cruz declared at his election night in Milwaukee. “We have a choice, a real choice.”

But it was too soon to tell whether Cruz’s victory was a sign that the #NeverTrump movement is truly gaining steam or if it was merely a bump in the road for Trump, who has spent the last several days trying to regain momentum after a series of self-inflicted wounds to his campaign.

While exit polls showed Trump won among moderates and preliminary results showed him doing well in rural parts of the state—where he had been expected to do best—there were some troubling signs for the real estate mogul’s campaign. Among them were Cruz’s decisive win among women and suburban voters—two constituencies that Trump has struggled to win so far.

Those two voting blocs could be pivotal as the race shifts toward Northeastern states such as New York, which is considered favorable terrain for Trump but where Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, a distant third in Wisconsin, are looking to peel off as many delegates as possible to stop him from winning the nomination outright.

Aided by an endorsement from Gov. Scott Walker, Cruz easily won a key GOP stronghold in Wisconsin—the suburbs of Milwaukee, home to college-educated, middle-class Republicans. The loss underscores the difficulty Trump has had winning over suburban Republicans in the contest so far—including in places like Virginia, North Carolina and Georgia, states he easily won overall but where he lost in the suburbs of major cities.

That’s a worrying trend for Trump in New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Maryland, where the Republican electorate is largely suburban and where Trump needs to win to avoid a floor fight at the convention.

While initial results suggested Cruz would win most of Wisconsin’s 42 delegates, Trump still leads the Texas senator in the delegate race by at least 200 delegates. But another hint of trouble came in the exit polls, which found 58 percent of those who voted were “concerned” or “scared” about the prospect of Trump winning the presidency.

The numbers come as Trump has tried to position himself as the eventual GOP nominee, bragging that he can be a unifying force in the party even as he struggled with discipline in what has been one of the toughest weeks of his candidacy so far, marred by political missteps that unquestionably hurt his campaign in Wisconsin.

Sen. Ted Cruz embraces his wife Heidi at his Wisconsin primary night rally April 5 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Photo: Jim Young/Reuters)
Sen. Ted Cruz embraces his wife Heidi at his Wisconsin primary night rally April 5 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Photo: Jim Young/Reuters)

Among them were Trump’s fumbling answers on abortion—including his call for “punishment” for women who have one illegally, which he later walked back—and his re-tweet of a supporter who had posted an unflattering photo of Cruz’s wife, Heidi. Trump also faced criticism for his defense of his campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, who has been charged with simple battery for allegedly grabbing a female reporter during a campaign event last month.

Cruz quickly sought to take advantage of Trump’s flubs—holding several events in recent days to directly appeal to female voters, who polls suggest have been alienated by Trump’s behavior and rhetoric. On Monday, Cruz held a campaign event with Fox News’s Megyn Kelly, whom Trump has repeatedly attacked, where he suggested his rival has a problem with “strong women”—a phrase he repeated during his victory speech Tuesday night.

It’s a phrase Cruz is likely to employ again as the race shifts toward Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern states like New York and Pennsylvania, where women make up a major part of the Republican electorate. If the real estate mogul can’t win those states outright, his path to win the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination grows ever more difficult.

Trump, who is scheduled to kick off his New York campaign with a rally in Long Island on Wednesday, is still trying to unite the party behind his bid and cast himself as a more serious candidate. In recent days, he’s held smaller rallies where he tried to project a calmer presence and resisted engaging with protesters. On Tuesday, his campaign told the Washington Post he would deliver a series of policy speeches in coming weeks as he looks toward the general election.

Still, Trump couldn’t resist lashing out on Wednesday, portraying his share of the vote, about a third, based on incomplete returns, as a victory against his critics. The statement, attributed to his “campaign” and not the candidate personally, railed against “Lyin’ Ted Cruz” and accused the senator of illegally coordinating with super PACs “who totally control him.”

“Donald J. Trump withstood the onslaught of the establishment yet again,” the statement said. “Ted Cruz is worse than a puppet–he is a Trojan horse, being used by the party bosses attempting to steal the nomination from Mr. Trump.”

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